Monthly Archives: March 2015
March 23, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

The trend is your friend, and this continues to be true in 2015. This upside trend has been in play since 2013 so trying to pick a top or pick your point of a sustainable pullback is just futile. So quit trying to beat the bullish long-term trend…and just trade. Your core position should be […]




March 20, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

If you look at the six month price chart for Twitter ($TWTR) you will see a gap down in price in late October, and a gap up in early February. This leaves a three month price island where the stock traded between $36-$40. Twitter ($TWTR) has been in a consolidation for the last month, trading […]




March 16, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

Stocks start the week in a mixed fashion. Market breadth has been near-term bearish. But the risk indicators that we watch (trend channels and momentum ratios, etc.) favor the bears. With that said, while bearish sentiment stole the spot light last week, we still have the macro trend to the upside. That action trumps the […]




March 13, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

Consumer names ($XLY) like Kroger ($KR) and CVS ($CVS) are up between 1-2 percent. This was also on impressive volume, especially in the small-caps ($IWM), which almost had 2 times the average daily volume. While this is bullish we need financials ($XLF) to pick up in order to keep this momentum going. We are seeing […]




March 12, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

The trade yesterday was choppy at best, with the S&P 500 ($SPY) having a $1 range and finishing on its lows. The large-cap Consumer Staples ($XLP) names have been some of the biggest losers this month. Procter & Gamble ($PG), PepsiCo ($PEP), and Colgate Palmolive ($CL), all have negative short term trends, one, four, and […]




March 9, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

I have to keep it short today but I wanted to talk about the action last week, specifically bonds ($TLT). S&P 500 ($SPY) fell around 1.5 percent for the week, which is only a blip in this bullish trend. The bonds ($TLT) on the other hand fell~ 4.0 percent last week and are down ~10 […]




March 5, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

The choppy-to-weak trade resumed today, as the large-cap indices continued to see selling pressure. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJX) finished the day down 106 points or ~.58 percent. This is about 70 points higher than its worst levels today. The Dow Transports ($IYT) continue to trade very weak, adding more pressure than relief. If […]




March 4, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

Sellers of Stocks were hitting it hard yesterday, S&P 500 ($SPY) fell below 2100 for the first in 3 weeks. While the market attempted a bounce in the afternoon, it was only able to recover half of its morning loss. S&P’s ($SPX) continue to see diminished lows and lower highs, which could be just a […]




March 3, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

One of the simplest ways to measure market strength is to see how stocks and indices are trading against their short, mid, and long-term moving averages.  The S&P 500 ($SPY) is above its 20, 50, and 200-day simple moving averages. So price action is to the upside. What we have noticed over the last few […]




March 2, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

We saw actual selling pressure last week in stocks, but as usual, it was short lived. The S&P 500 ($SPY) moved above $211.78 on Tuesday afternoon then worked its way lower the rest of the week. With a close below $210.5 on the $SPY, the ETF fell around $1.4 in two and a half days. […]