Monthly Archives: February 2015
February 27, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

The S&P 500 ($SPY) spent the day in a tight range, ~ 7 points. However, by the end of the day it was in the red, but not by much. The real story is in the resumed strength in the US Dollar ($UUP). The Dollar ETF ($UUP) has spent the better part of this month […]




February 25, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

Intel ($INTC) has been unable to garner any strength to the upside since the end of January. Since the stock broke $35, it has been in a range of $34.5-$33.5 and has been under-performing compared to large-cap indices like the S&P 500 ($SPY). If you take a look at Tradespoon Seasonality Chart there is resistance […]




February 20, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

The S&P’s ($SPY) stayed in tight range all day, wrapped around $210. This holding pattern that has settled in makes sense if you look at what is going on in the rest of the world. Japanese and European markets continue to show signs of strength.  EAFE iShares (EFA), which is an index of EU stocks, […]




February 19, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

Today’s market finished the session on a flat note thanks to a late afternoon grind that lifted the market off its low. The S&P 500 ($SPY) ended unchanged while the NASDAQ ($QQQ) outperformed, adding 0.1 percent. It was surprising to see the market reaction to the FOMC minutes so muted. You would think the bulls […]




February 18, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

The move in the S&P 500 ($SPY) to the upside has been on low volume, with volatility still holding up going into March, April, and June. If you look at volatility futures they are trading at the $18-$20 level which is 10 percent over the cash $VIX that is reported in mainstream media. This action […]




February 13, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

Home Builders ($ITB) have broken through upside resistance clearing the path for real upside. We mentioned early in January that the strength in the consumer markets and the plummeting Commodity prices could be a real catalyst for the housing market. This is notable since the Housing Sector ($ITB) has been in a consolidation for almost […]




February 12, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

As I write this the market is firmly in the green, with the S&P ($SPY) up $1, and large-caps continuing to lead the charge. But the Emerging Markets ($EEM) have been lagging the global bounce since the rejection of the $41 level on the ETF. I used the Tradespoon Seasonality chart today and found the […]




February 11, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

The choppy price action in the market ($SPY) has left traders salivating and investors scratching their heads. What you are experiencing is a market that is shifting leadership. We are seeing last year’s sectors that were leading in 2014 are now lagging in 2015. The sectors that lead most of 2014: Consumer Staples ($XLP), Utilities […]




February 10, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

The Tech sector ($QQQ) continues to chop around this week. The big-cap tech has been under pressure making lower highs this trading week. I will note that this overall action is a pullback in what is still an upward trending market. But it is hard to buy dips convincingly. Look at some large-cap tech names […]




February 9, 2015
By Vlad Karpel

Friday’s late day action showed that advances will be met at this stage with skepticism. Remember last week when I said that the small-caps ($IWM) were the canary in the coal mine? They broke out and were able to hold that break out resistance of $118, which now is key short-term support. The large-cap ($SPY) […]