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After closing at an all-time high on Friday due to stimulus confidence, U.S. markets traded to mixed results on Monday with the S&P and Dow trading slightly lower while Nasdaq booked small gains. On Capitol Hill, both President Trump and Senate majority leader McConnell offered optimistic sentiment regarding the $908 billion stimulus proposal with some expecting additional progress before the week’s end. Also on the Congressional floor, the House of Representatives passed a bill on Friday to decriminalize marijuana which will need to pass in the Senate to become a federal law. DoorDash and Airbnb are set to make their market debuts this week while Tesla has already made waves with shares surging, currently topping the $600 billion market value mark. Adobe, Campbell Soup, Costco Wholesale, and Oracle will headline earnings releases this week. Overseas, negotiations between the U.K. and the E.U. continue as the Brexit deadline approaches, though lack of progress has hurt the British pound. We are still seeing strong rotation from growth to value stocks and believe the SPY is on its way to retest its recent highs. Until an additional breakout is sustained, our models are projecting the SPY to trade between the $340-$375 levels. With the market prone to further corrections, the next level of support is set at $350. We encourage all market commentary readers to maintain clearly defined stop-levels for all positions. For reference, the SPY Seasonal Chart is shown below:
Key U.S. Economic Reports/Events This Week:
Upcoming Earnings:
For reference, the S&P 10-Day Forecast is shown below:
Using the “^GSPC” symbol to analyze the S&P 500 our 10-day prediction window shows a near-term mixed outlook. Prediction data is uploaded after the market closes at 6 p.m. CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
The stock is trading at $165.75 with a vector of +0.76% at the time of publication.
10-Day Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
Note: The Vector column calculates the change of the Forecasted Average Price for the next trading session relative to the average of actual prices for the last trading session. The column shows the expected average price movement “Up or Down”, in percent. Trend traders should trade along the predicted direction of the Vector. The higher the value of the Vector the higher its momentum.
*Please note: At the time of publication Vlad Karpel does have a position in the featured symbol, TXN. Our featured symbol is part of your free subscription service. It is not included in any paid Tradespoon subscription service. Vlad Karpel only trades his money in paid subscription services. If you are a paid subscriber, please review your Premium Member Picks, ActiveTrader, or MonthlyTrader recommendations. If you are interested in receiving Vlad’s picks, please click here.
West Texas Intermediate for Crude Oil delivery (CL.1) is priced at $45.71 per barrel, down 1.19% at the time of publication.
Looking at USO, a crude oil tracker, our 10-day prediction model shows mixed signals. The fund is trading at $31.38 at the time of publication. Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
Gold
The price for the Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) is up 1.21% at $1862.30 at the time of publication.
Using SPDR GOLD TRUST (GLD) as a tracker in our Stock Forecast Tool, the 10-day prediction window shows mixed signals. The gold proxy is trading at $174.33, at the time of publication. Vector signals show -0.47% for today. Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is down, at 0.930% at the time of publication.
The yield on the 30-year Treasury note is down, at 1.689% at the time of publication.
Using the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) as a proxy for bond prices in our Stock Forecast Tool, we see mixed signals in our 10-day prediction window. Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
The CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) is $21.62 at the time of publication, and our 10-day prediction window shows mixed signals. Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
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